The Quinnipiac ballot, of 1,610 registered voters, had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.4 proportion factors. The phone survey was carried out from October 26 to 30, a interval that features Rep. Dean Phillips(Democrat from Minnesota) Coming into the Democratic main.
The ballot additionally signifies that Kennedy attracts extra help from Trump than from Biden, a consequence that matches earlier Tremendous PAC polls. In a race between solely the 2 former presidents, the Quinnipiac ballot confirmed excessive pressure: 47 p.c of registered voters would help the present Democratic president, in comparison with 46 p.c for his Republican predecessor. This consequence matches a number of different direct polls carried out previously few months, and means that Kennedy’s unbiased candidacy has the potential to spark one other shift in what has lengthy been portrayed as a contest between former presidents.
In a warning signal for Democrats, Kennedy was the best choice of younger voters, ages 18 to 34, among the many inhabitants surveyed — 38 p.c of whom selected the environmental lawyer. Among the many identical age group, 32% selected Biden and 27% selected Trump.
Kennedy, who has detailed his disillusionment with partisan politics and what he described because the unfair Democratic main system, introduced his unbiased run for president final month. He had no actual probability of profitable the Democratic main, because the nationwide get together equipment had already backed Biden’s re-election bid. His skeptical views on vaccine effectiveness have additionally infected a lot of his former get together.
The ballot is simply one other signal that Kennedy’s unbiased bid might have important enchantment from Individuals cautious of one other Trump or Biden presidency. A latest Politico evaluation discovered that Kennedy withdrew tens of millions of {dollars} from individuals who didn’t donate within the final presidential election. This evaluation additionally discovered that his monetary help extra usually comes from those that gave to Trump fairly than Biden.
